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Why markets are more cautious about the next potential political pitfall

21 November 2016

Donald Trump’s surprise victory in the US presidential election may serve as a warning sign to Europe that populism can happen on a large scale. In Europe, generally speaking, populism has so far been confined to smaller countries. But there are already signs of increasing populism country by country across Europe, and that’s something we think European politicians are going to have to deal with. While we’re not expecting these populist movements to sweep to power imminently in upcoming elections, we think the polls suggest a malaise among many citizens, and that means the so-called European political elite need to listen to voters.

Impacts and implications of a Trump presidency

15 November 2016

Whether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump emerged victorious in the US presidential election, the result was always going to be a second-best outcome for global economies and markets with both candidates being widely regarded as weak.

Let us work together to rectify our faults

14 November 2016

Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan has come out of a very testing period of the year unscathed and with his head held high as the National Prosecuting Authority of South Africa decided to withdraw the fraud charges that it levelled against the minister in September.

Market snapshot: October 2016

11 November 2016

October was marked by political uncertainty, locally and in the US, which stoked market volatility. On 11 October the National Prosecuting Authority pressed charges against Minister Gordhan for fraud, but the minister ended the month triumphantly, with all charges withdrawn. Wall Street and Asian markets, in particular, rode the rollercoaster as various polls released results that Trump retains a fair chance of entering the White House.

quick poll

Question

If you had to hazard a guess, when do you reckon the COFI Bill will be signed into law?

Answer

2026, as promised 2027 looks more likely Impossible to say More consultation needed

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