The dollar dilemma
31 January 2017
The post-US election rally on global equity markets continues. The Dow Jones Industrial Index hit 20 000 index points to much fanfare, but professional investors pay little attention to the Dow since it is weighted by share price, not market capitalisation. The S&P 500 also hit record highs, buoyed by the prospects of higher profits thanks to President Trump’s proposed tax cuts, a more solid global economy (which predates the election) and rising inflation, which supports corporate pricing power. Locally, the JSE All Share Index has also performed well since the start of the year, in contrast to January 2016 when global and local markets were experiencing turmoil. This means that the 12-month return on local equities is looking very healthy for the moment.