Safe for now, but ratings risk remains
28 November 2017
After a round of credit ratings reviews by the three major ratings agencies, South African government bonds will remain part of the Citigroup World Government Bond Index (WGBI), but only just. The immediate risk of forced selling as a result of being excluded from this index has therefore abated for the time being. While each of the agencies has its own specific methodology for assessing creditworthiness, the common thread through all three reviews is that economic growth is too low, leading to pressure on Government’s finances, worsened by underperforming State Owned Enterprises (SOEs).