Volatile global markets
After stabilising in May, the global bond sell-off resumed last week. Again, European bond yields, which had fallen the most over the preceding year, were hardest hit, but US and UK yields also jumped. The German 10-year bond yield touched a yield of 0.99% from 0.52% at the start of the week, its highest level since November 2014. German yields bottomed to an unthinkable low level of 0.07% in late April. Even after the sell-off, developed market bond yields offer no value, unless deflation is expected. Part of the reason for the renewed sell-off is European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi’s comment that markets must get used to periods of higher volatility. In other words, the ECB will not intervene over and above the existing €60 billion a month quantitative easing programme. The lower the yields, the higher the volatility (a 30 basis point move on a starting yield of 0.5% is massive compared to a 30 basis point move on a 5% yield).