The rocketing rand
29 January 2018
Amid much fanfare, the rand broke through to R12 to the US dollar for the first time since May 2015. At first glance it appears to be a continuation of the “Ramaphosa rally” as investors price in improved prospects for economic reform, policy certainty and corruption fighting. However, as is mostly the case, the global backdrop is crucial. After all, the rand has strengthened 4% against the US dollar this year, but is flat against the euro and weaker against the pound. In other words, this is a weak dollar story, though the new positive sentiment towards South Africa certainly helps. Other emerging markets have also seen their currencies rally against the dollar.