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Retail sales growth exceeds market expectations, but momentum soft

17 September 2015

Stats SA reported a 3.3% y/y rise in retail sales volumes in July, lower than the (upwardly revised) 3.8% y/y growth rate reported in June, but notably higher than the 2.4% y/y increase captured by the INET BFA consensus estimate.

Expenditure side of SA GDP reflects pressure on demand

16 September 2015

The South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) Quarterly Bulletin confirmed that real GDP growth slowed to 1.6% y/y in 2Q15 from 2.0% y/y in 1Q15.

The new cold war: distorted inflation figures and China

10 September 2015

Speaking at the Sanlam Investments Institutional Insights conference in Johannesburg last week, Dr Philippa Malmgren said there is an intriguing stand-off taking place between the US Federal Reserve and emerging markets, with the likes of China and Russia accusing the world’s largest economy of inflating its way out of debt.

The stuttering stride of China creates global worries

02 September 2015

After being overlooked for so many years, the Chinese economy rose to prominence in 2007 with growth rates exceeding anything else the world had seen at the time. Like the former Soviet Union, it was now China’s time to build itself into a world economic superpower.

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