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The tyranny of numbers: economic statistics are less certain than you think

The tyranny of numbers: economic statistics are less certain than you think

04 June 2015

True economic growth is less certain than some statistics would have us believe. Understanding this helps us make better informed decisions.

What growth?

What growth?

04 June 2015

The Reserve Bank has warned that interest rate hikes are inevitable, given the medium-term inflation outlook and that this will not unduly sacrifice growth. What growth?

Disposable incomes continue to beat inflation

Disposable incomes continue to beat inflation

27 May 2015

For the fifth month in a row, pensions are increasing faster than take-home salaries. Last month, take-home salaries increased by 5.9%, beating inflation by 1.4% according to the BankservAfrica Disposable Salary Index (BDSI), while the BankservAfrica Private Pension Index (BPPI) indicates that pensioners saw an average increase of 10% on their income.

SA inflation – Lower food inflation

SA inflation – Lower food inflation

26 May 2015

SA’s annual headline consumer inflation at 4,0% in March from 3,9% in February was lower than the markets expectations. The lower rate relative to forecasts stemmed from lower-than-expected food prices.

quick poll
Question

The strongest deterrent against FSP compliance missteps is or should be:

Answer
Hawkish MPC still focused on negatives

Hawkish MPC still focused on negatives

25 May 2015
SARB holds interest rates steady, but paves the way for hikes

SARB holds interest rates steady, but paves the way for hikes

22 May 2015
SA economic outlook for 2015

SA economic outlook for 2015

20 May 2015
Very close call for rates this week

Very close call for rates this week

19 May 2015
Is the South African Rand actually that volatile?

Is the South African Rand actually that volatile?

19 May 2015
Reserve Bank likely to take its lead on interest rates from the US

Reserve Bank likely to take its lead on interest rates from the US

19 May 2015
Transaction values still up despite public holidays in April

Transaction values still up despite public holidays in April

13 May 2015
South Africa needs over 49 000 scalable SMEs to create 11 million jobs

South Africa needs over 49 000 scalable SMEs to create 11 million jobs

04 May 2015