Interest rate increase could make South African consumers more vulnerable
30 June 2015
It is clear that the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) remains aware of the potential negative local effect of a rise in US rates should the US decide to hike rates this year. In the event that global capital flows to emerging markets (including South Africa) are negatively impacted, the rand could weaken further, potentially raising inflation expectations, which are already above the upper-end of the target band for the price-setters of the economy, namely businesses and trade unions.