Franklin Templeton: Investment outlook for 2014
In our view, the investment outlook for 2014 is clouded by uncertainty. By year-end 2013, global stocks had generally rebounded strongly off crisis-era lows, and many indexes were near record highs. Corporate profit margins in the US, the world’s largest economy, were near peak levels, and US equity valuations appeared to us to be pricing in optimism at a time when politics are highly fractious and monetary stimulus will soon be tapered. Europe has continued to flirt with deflation, while China and Japan embark on very different, but equally experimental, reform paths with unknowable consequences.