Don’t let the rand dictate offshore investment decisions
In the past 18 months or so, we’ve seen a rush by many investors to take funds offshore, precipitated by the sharp depreciation of the rand following the “Nenegate” debacle in December 2015, and continuing in the wake of “Gordhangate” in March this year and the consequent sovereign credit rating downgrades. Unfortunately, South Africans have a history of panicking when the rand weakens sharply and responding by taking money offshore. Because the rand is a highly emotive factor, dominating the news headlines, investors’ immediate focus is often solely on the level of the rand, and not whether an offshore investment actually makes sense from a valuation perspective. They ignore whether the South African assets they are selling and the foreign assets they are buying at the time are cheap or expensive. They also tend to dismiss the question of whether they actually need to add offshore exposure based on their long-term investment goals.