Global market trends: politics, economics and sentiment
We expect reasonable growth from global markets this year but within a more volatile environment. We do, however, expect that these headwinds will eventually slow global activity, likely causing growth around the world to disappoint in late 2019 and early 2020. The real risk for global markets is an unexpected global recession. To monitor this we have developed a global recession scorecard with 10 underlying fundamental indicators. At the moment, 90% of these indicators suggest that a global recession remains unlikely this year.