The Chinese paradox
20 April 2015
Chinese equities are up 27% year-to-date, and around 80% since June last year. The buoyancy of the Shanghai market has spilled over to Hong Kong. Naspers broke through R2 000 per share last week on the back of the increased market value of Hong Kong-listed Tencent, of which it owns a third. To many, the surging Chinese market resembles the period between January 2006 and October 2007 when the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index rose fivefold in one of the more spectacular bubbles of recent times. The deflation of the bubble was equally dramatic, and the index lost 70% over the next 12 months. Even after the recent rally, the index is still 40% below its 2007 peak.