The impact of higher global bond yields
18 July 2017
How worried should we be about the recent jump in developed market bond yields? Global bonds sold off after a string of central bankers, most notably the ECB’s Mario Draghi, discussed the prospects of reducing monetary stimulus at a recent conference in Sintra, Portugal. Bonds pay a fixed coupon and therefore a decline in the price increases its yield (and vice versa). There are a couple of issues to consider. Firstly, will central banks follow through with tightening policy, or are markets overreacting? Secondly, is the jump in yields large enough to derail global growth? Thirdly, what does it mean for equities? Lastly, what does it mean for South African financial markets and monetary policy, local bonds and the rand, given that we have benefited from being a high-yielding country?