PPS Investment Comment: SA GDP (Q2 2019)
Second quarter economic growth surprised on the upside according to the latest GDP statistics released today, with a slight positive revision to the first quarter reading as well. In the second quarter, the economy grew 3.1% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding analyst expectations of around 2.5%. This is a strong outcome on the face of it, but viewed in the context of the prior quarters’ significant contraction, the rebound from a depressed base is less spectacular. Encouragingly, this positive reading means that a recession has been averted for now, though it doesn’t escape the fact that underlying growth remains weak.