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South Africa’s economic activity boomed in February 2022 as commodity prices soared in stark contrast to the below inflation interest rates.
Statistic South Africa’s latest update on the country’s agriculture real GDP for 4Q21 shows an impressive rebound of 12.2% quarter-on-quarter (q/q) seasonally adjusted after surprising on the downside by 1.5% q/q in the 3rdQ21. The country’s overall real GDP grew by 1.2% in the 4thQ21 underpinned by gains in trade (+2.9%q/q), manufacturing (+2.8%q/q), personal services (+2.7%q/q), and agriculture.
South African consumers are being pummelled by an all-time high fuel price and escalating food inflation. The March fuel price increase will have a severe impact on spending patterns, even on food, as consumers spend less and move to cheaper alternatives.
South Africa has a limited window of opportunity to reset the economy and build a stronger base for sustained long-term growth – seizing it will require rebuilding business and investor confidence by moving swiftly to implementation of the economic reforms outlined in Minister of Finance Enoch Godongwana’s 2022 Budget speech.
If you had to hazard a guess, when do you reckon the COFI Bill will be signed into law?