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South Africa economy contracted in Q1 2017 by 0.7% (q-o-q, annualised), following a 0.3% contraction in Q4 2016, moving the country into a technical recession.
The recent announcement that South Africa has officially entered a technical recession – characterised by two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth – indicates that the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) has fallen behind the curve when it comes to interest rate cuts.
We have been noting for some time that while we expected overall South Africa GDP growth to perk up in 2017, it would be primarily due to agriculture, mining and tourism. As a result, we had worried that the domestic economy was effectively in recession.
Official figures released today show that South Africa’s economy contracted by 0.7% (quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted) during the first quarter of 2017. This follows the 0.3% contraction during the last quarter of 2016 and pushes the country officially into a technical recession.
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